A document made available by the Presidential Task Force on Power, PTFP, explained that inadequate power evacuation facilities arising from frequent disruptions and tampering of crude lines, which negatively affect gas production and condensate evacuation would make power supply dip in the coming months.
In the document titled, ‘Maintaining service delivery & the early stabilisation of the infant privatised Nigerian electricity supply market,” Chairman, PTFP, Mr. Reynolds Dagogo-Jack, disclosed that only 3,231MW of electricity will be effectively distributed in May, while 3,420MW is to be distributed in June.
Stranded generation for the months of March and June 2014, he noted, will be 1,512MW and 2,221MW respectively.
Stranded generation is when electricity power is available at the power plants, but cannot be evacuated to the end users.
Dagogo-Jack disclosed that between May and November 2013, the country witnessed 12 major attacks on five critical gas pipelines in the country, leading to an average capacity loss of about 1,880MW of electricity.
Two major incidents, according to him, are the closure of the Trans Niger Pipeline by Shell Petroleum Development Company, which led to the loss of about 650MW from the Afam Power Plant, and the November 23 shut down of gas supply to Okpai by the Nigerian Agip Oil Company, which led to a loss of 480MW.
He gave a breakdown on the impact of gas constraints on stranded generation, saying as at December 2013, thermal deliverable power was 4,181MW with effective gas power capacity at 2,848, while the country lost 1,333 MW.
Dagogo-Jack also made the following projections for stranded generation:
•September – 1,473MW;
•December – 1,286 MW;
•March 2015 – 1,216 MW;
•June 2015 – 1,286MW;
•September 2015 – 1,225 MW; and,
•December 2015 – 1,416 MW
He said, “Over the next two years, the increase in thermal generation capacity is expected to come from NIPP turbines, capacity recovery of former Power Holding Company of Nigeria, PHCN GenCos and from additions to currently in-situ Independent Power Plants, IPPs. All these parties will be competing with each other for the limited supply of available gas
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